Cheltenham Festival Betting Preview Wednesday 16th March

Cheltenham Festival Betting Preview Wednesday 16th March

by 10th March 2016

After the usual Punters Day Tuesday, the bookies will look to recoup their losses on Wednesday with large field handicaps and the monster champion bumper making punting very tricky. Read our man’s betting preview for The Cheltenham Festival day two and give you possible betting tips on the top three races of the day.

Wednesday March 16th

Neptune Novices Hurdle

Yanworth is shorter for this than Min is in the Supreme, so, should he be as short as 5/4 or, will 5/4 look value at around 13.40 next Wednesday afternoon?

Yanworth was 4th in last year’s Champion Bumper on good ground so we know he has some speed and his form this season has come on soft or worse so there should be no underfoot concerns .

The next 3 in the ante post betting are all Mullins horses Yorkhill, A Toi Phil and Bellshill. Yorkhill is now second in on the ante post market, so maybe the rumour is true and Ruby will ride Yorkhill, but in addition to Min? A Toi Phil headed the betting until the 5 day declarations but I am not convinced the form is good enough. Bellshill was second in the Aintree Bumper last year when beaten by the re-opposing Barters Hill and if the ground is soft or worse I can see Bellshill reversing the form, so must be in with a shout, but Bellshill was a long way behind Yanworth in the Champion Bumper.

If the ground can get back to the better side of good to soft or even good, then Shantou Village is an absolute stand out e/w at the current best prices of around 14/1, however, the ground is absolutely key.

Verdict: Yanworth is a worthy favourite and has looked very impressive this season. Of the Willie Mullins trio, I can only see Yorkhill getting close to Yanworth. If the ground really dries up then Shantou Village has to be backed each way. I have only mentioned Barters Hill above in despatches as I am not convinced Cheltenham will suit the horse (Aintree would suit much better, as his bumper win last year would show) and his front running style is very difficult to pull off round the hurdles track.

RSA Chase

This is a minefield of trying to work out what will run. The two that top the ante post market No More Heroes and More Than That are far too short for me. NMH has developed nicely this season, but, is the form sufficient to chalk up at around 9/4? Only one win this year has been in a field as large as 9, the other fields were 4 and 7 so not for me. MTT was a former classy hurdler who has made his comeback this year as a chaser and has won 2 out of 2. Once again, however, they were both in small fields and MTT definitely needs better ground than soft. The main Mullins entrant Black Hercules has to get round and although his jumping is mainly solid, he can throw a dodgy one in and that is a lingering doubt.

Verdict: I am going to ignore the front of the market for the above reasons and put forward 3 each way options. Blaklion likes Cheltenham and can handle most ground and at 9/1 is a solid option. Seeyouatmidnight has a result over Blaklion at Cheltenham so his price of 12/1 looks big in that respect. The 2015 Martin Pipe saw Roi Des Francs go off as a well backed 3/1 favourite and although only managing 3rd that day, RDF handled the track and has taken to fences really well and the current price of around 14/1 looks too big.

Queen Mother Champion Chase

Verdict: Let us start by saying that if Un De Sceaux gets round Un De Sceaux wins, but the prices tell you that. As an each way alternative I fancy Special Tiara. Placed last year the 12/1 on offer is value, however, need the ground to improve to no worse than good to soft.

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